Implications of Ultra-Shallow Earthquake Hazards: A Case Study of the 2025 Sichuan Xuyong MS3.3 Earthquake
-
摘要: 2025年1—2月,在四川泸州市叙永县先后发生了3次有感地震,其中2月6日的MS3.3地震震感强烈,并造成显著的地表建筑物破坏,震后现场调查显示,震中区地震烈度达到Ⅵ度。根据区域地震台网资料重新定位,MS3.3地震重定位后的矩心深度约1 km,震源机制解给出两组节面参数,分别为:节面I走向为204°、倾向72°、滑动角109°,节面Ⅱ走向为336°、倾向26°、滑动角45°。本研究通过地震学分析,结合灾害调查情况,认为叙永MS3.3地震是一次典型的极浅源地震。极浅源地震是板内地震的常见类型,该类地震具有震源浅、分布广、灾害重的特点。近十年来,川南地区发生了大量中强震,大部分是极浅源地震。研究表明,极浅源地震既可能发生在天然的活动断裂带上,也可能发生在人类工业活动较多的地质构造脆弱区。因此,深入研究极浅源地震及其相关灾害对科学防范“小震大灾”具有重要意义,也是未来防震减灾面临的重要课题之一。Abstract: From January to February 2025, three felt earthquakes occurred successively in Xuyong county, Luzhou city, Sichuan Province. Among them, the MS3.3 earthquake on February 6 was strongly felt and caused notable damage to surface structures. Post-earthquake field investigations indicated that the seismic intensity reached VI in the epicentral area. Based on regional seismic network data, the MS3.3 earthquake was relocated, yielding a centroid depth of approximately 1 km. The focal mechanism solution produced two nodal planes: Plane I, with a strike of 204°, dip of 72°, and rake of 109°; and Plane II, with a strike of 336°, dip of 26°, and rake of 45°. By integrating seismological analysis with field damage investigation, this study identifies the MS3.3 Xuyong earthquake as a typical ultra-shallow earthquake. Ultra-shallow earthquakes commonly occur within plates and are characterized by shallow focal depths, wide spatial distribution, and disproportionately severe damage. Over the past decade, numerous moderate-to-strong earthquakes have occurred in southern Sichuan, most of which were ultra-shallow events. The results indicate that ultra-shallow earthquakes can occur not only along natural active fault zones but also in geologically vulnerable areas affected by intensive human industrial activities. Therefore, further investigation of ultra-shallow seismicity and its associated hazards is essential for preventing “small earthquakes causing large disasters” and remains an important challenge for future earthquake prevention and disaster mitigation.
-
表 1 叙永后山镇地震震源信息
Table 1. Hypocenter parameters of the earthquake in Houshan town, Xuyong county
发震时刻 震中位置 震源深度/km 震级 来源 经度/(°E) 纬度/(°N) 2025-01-15 01:32:56.06 105.47 28.03 9 MS3.0 四川地震台网 2025-01-20 00:15:03.08 105.48 28.01 9 MS2.9 四川地震台网 2025-02-06 22:25:31.06 105.48 28.00 12 MS3.3 四川地震台网 表 2 本次研究计算采用的一维速度模型
Table 2. 1 D velocity model used in the calculations in this study
项目 层号 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 顶层深度/km 0.0 2.0 4.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0 22.0 25.0 34.0 43.0 61.0 VP/(km·s−1) 4.93 5.29 5.55 5.72 5.80 5.93 6.10 6.16 6.40 6.54 6.72 6.76 7.62 7.86 VS/(km·s−1) 2.85 3.06 3.21 3.30 3.35 3.43 3.52 3.56 3.70 3.78 3.88 3.91 4.40 4.54 表 3 震源机制解节面参数
Table 3. Nodal plane parameters of the focal mechanism solution
震中位置 深度/km 节面Ⅰ/(°) 节面Ⅱ/(°) 经度/(°E) 纬度/(°N) 走向 倾向 滑动角 走向 倾向 滑动角 105.480 27.982 1.0 204 72 109 336 26 45 -
陈朝伟, 曹虎, 石元会, 2020. 四川长宁区块地应力特征及裂缝带活化分析. 工程地质学报, 28(S1): 86−95.Chen Z. W., Cao H., Shi Y. H., 2020. In-situ stress characteristics and fracture zone activation analysis of Changning shale gas in Sichuan province. Journal of Engineering Geology, 28(S1): 86−95. (in Chinese) 代友林, 刘洋, 梁远玲等, 2022. 芦山6.1级地震与泸县6.0级地震人员伤亡对比分析. 震灾防御技术, 17(4): 674−681.Dai Y. L., Liu Y., Liang Y. L., et al., 2022. Comparative analysis of casualties between Lushan M6.1 earthquake and Luxian M6.0 earthquake. Technology for Earthquake Disaster Prevention, 17(4): 674−681. (in Chinese) 邓明文, 李金, 许鑫等, 2024. 库车−沙雅地区中小地震发震构造探讨. 地球物理学报, 67(10): 3747−3765.Deng M. W., Li J., Xu X., et al., 2024. Discussion on seismogenic structure of small and moderate earthquakes in Kuqa-Shaya area. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 67(10): 3747−3765. (in Chinese) 谷旺旺, 倪四道, 王烁帆等, 2023. 基于地震波和InSAR资料的2010年遂宁M5.0地震发震断层与机理研究. 中国科学: 地球科学, 53(8): 1844−1858.Gu W. W., Ni S. D., Wang S. F., et al., 2023. Causative fault and seismogenic mechanism of the 2010 Suining M5.0 earthquake from joint modeling of seismic and InSAR data. Science China Earth Sciences, 66(8): 1825−1838. (in Chinese) 何登发, 鲁人齐, 黄涵宇等, 2019. 长宁页岩气开发区地震的构造地质背景. 石油勘探与开发, 46(5): 993−1006.He D. F., Lu R. Q., Huang H. Y., et al., 2019. Tectonic and geological background of the earthquake hazards in Changning shale gas development zone, Sichuan Basin, SW China. Petroleum Exploration and Development, 46(5): 993−1006. (in Chinese) 何玉林, 周荣军, 李勇等, 2010. 2010年1月31日四川遂宁市与重庆潼南县交界5.0级地震概况. 中国地震, 26(2): 235−241.He Y. L., Zhou R. J., Li Y., et al., 2010. Overview for the Suining-Tongnan M5.0 earthquake on January 31, 2010 in the border area between Sichuan and Chongqing, western China. Earthquake Research in China, 26(2): 235−241. (in Chinese) 黄炳香, 邢岳堃, 李炳宏等, 2025. 页岩气开采诱发地震问题探讨与展望: 以四川盆地为例. 岩石力学与工程学报, 44(11): 2843−2869. doi: 10.3724/1000-6915.jrme.2025.0130Huang B. X., Xing Y. K., Li B. H., et al., 2025. Discussion and prospects on induced seismicity from shale gas extraction: a case study of the Sichuan Basin. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, 44(11): 2843−2869. (in Chinese) doi: 10.3724/1000-6915.jrme.2025.0130 焦裕, 周永胜, 张雷等, 2019. 流体对石灰岩断层摩擦滑动影响的实验研究. 地球物理学报, 62(1): 159−171.Jiao Y., Zhou Y. S., Zhang L., et al., 2019. Experimental study on the effect of fluid to friction sliding of limestone fault gouge. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 62(1): 159−171. (in Chinese) 雷兴林, 苏金蓉, 王志伟, 2020. 四川盆地南部持续增长的地震活动及其与工业注水活动的关联. 中国科学: 地球科学, 50(11): 1505−1532.Lei X. L., Su J. R., Wang Z. W., 2020. Growing seismicity in the Sichuan Basin and its association with industrial activities. Science China Earth Sciences, 63(11): 1633−1660. (in Chinese) 李翠平, 唐茂云, 郭卫英等, 2019. 2017年11月23日重庆武隆MS5.0地震序列重定位及发震断层分析. 地震地质, 41(3): 603−618.Li C. P., Tang M. Y., Guo W. Y., et al., 2019. Relocation of the 23 November 2017 Wulong MS5.0 earthquake sequence and analysis of its seismogenic fault. Seismology and Geology, 41(3): 603−618. (in Chinese) 廖勇, 徐闯, 陈军等, 2021. 四川长宁“6·17”地震诱发的次生地质灾害类型及其发育特征. 中国地质灾害与防治学报, 32(1): 77−83. doi: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.2021.01.11Liao Y., Xu C., Chen J., et al., 2021. Types and their characteristics of geological hazards triggered by “6·17” earthquake in Changning, Sichuan Province. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 32(1): 77−83. (in Chinese) doi: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.2021.01.11 刘绍昌, 代博洋, 杨健强等, 2024. 2022年云南红河县MS5.0地震震害特征. 震灾防御技术, 19(2): 288−295. doi: 10.11899/zzfy20240208Liu S. C., Dai B. Y., Yang J. Q., et al., 2024. The characteristics of earthquake damage caused by the MS5.0 earthquake in Honghe, Yunnan. Technology for Earthquake Disaster Prevention, 19(2): 288−295. (in Chinese) doi: 10.11899/zzfy20240208 刘绍昌, 杨健强, 2025. 2023年云南省芒市MS5.0地震震害特征. 震灾防御技术, 20(1): 86−96. doi: 10.11899/zzfy20230270Liu S. C., Yang J. Q., 2025. The characteristics of earthquake damage caused by the MS5.0 earthquake in Mangshi, Yunnan Province. Technology for Earthquake Disaster Prevention, 20(1): 86−96. (in Chinese) doi: 10.11899/zzfy20230270 罗艳, 倪四道, 曾祥方等, 2011. 一个发生在沉积盖层里的破坏性地震: 2010年1月31日四川遂宁−重庆潼南地震. 科学通报, 56(2): 147−152.Luo Y., Ni S. D., Zeng X. F., et al., 2011. The M5.0 Suining-Tongnan (China) earthquake of 31 January 2010: a destructive earthquake occurring in sedimentary cover. Chinese Science Bulletin, 56(2): 147−152. (in Chinese) 孟庆君, 倪四道, 韩立波等. 2014. 地壳速度结构对极浅源地震深度反演的影响−−以荣昌地震为例. 中国地震, 30(4): 490−500.Meng Q. J. , Ni S. D. , Han L. B. , et al. , 2014. Inverting effect of crustal velocity structure on focal depth of very shallow earthquakes−−Case study of the Rongchang earthquake. Earthquake Research in China, 30(4): 490−500. (in Chinese) 王玉满, 黄金亮, 王淑芳等, 2016. 四川盆地长宁、焦石坝志留系龙马溪组页岩气刻度区精细解剖. 天然气地球科学, 27(3): 423−432.Wang Y. M., Huang J. L., Wang S. F., et al., 2016. Dissection of two calibrated areas of the Silurian Longmaxi Formation, Changning and Jiaoshiba, Sichuan Basin. Natural Gas Geoscience, 27(3): 423−432. (in Chinese) 徐芳, 鲁人齐, 王帅等, 2022. 基于多元约束方法的2020年四川青白江MS5.1地震构造研究. 地震地质, 44(1): 220−237.Xu F., Lu R. Q., Wang S., et al., 2022. Study on the seismotectonics of the Qingbaijiang MS5.1 earthquake in Sichuan province in 2020 by multiple constraint method. Seismology and Geology, 44(1): 220−237. (in Chinese) 杨旭航, 陶玮, 鲁人齐等, 2025. 气液注采工业活动诱发地震机理及其断层滑动风险评估综述. 地球物理学报, 68(1): 1−35.Yang X. H., Tao W., Lu R. Q., et al., 2025. Review on the occurrence mechanisms of induced earthquakes by industrial subsurface injection and extraction of gas and fluid and methods of fault slip risk assessment. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 68(1): 1−35. (in Chinese) 易桂喜, 龙锋, 梁明剑等, 2019. 2019年6月17日四川长宁MS6.0地震序列震源机制解与发震构造分析. 地球物理学报, 62(9): 3432−3447.Yi G. X., Long F., Liang M. J., et al., 2019. Focal mechanism solutions and seismogenic structure of the 17 June 2019 MS6.0 Sichuan Changning earthquake sequence. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 62(9): 3432−3447. (in Chinese) 易桂喜, 龙锋, 梁明剑等, 2020. 四川盆地荣县−威远−资中地区发震构造几何结构与构造变形特征: 基于震源机制解的认识和启示. 地球物理学报, 63(9): 3275−3291.Yi G. X., Long F., Liang M. J., et al., 2020. Geometry and tectonic deformation of seismogenic structures in the Rongxian-Weiyuan-Zizhong region, Sichuan Basin: insights from focal mechanism solutions. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 63(9): 3275−3291. (in Chinese) 易桂喜, 赵敏, 龙锋等, 2021. 2021年9月16日四川泸县MS6.0地震序列特征及孕震构造环境. 地球物理学报, 64(12): 4449−4461.Yi G. X., Zhao M., Long F., et al., 2021. Characteristics of the seismic sequence and seismogenic environment of the MS6.0 Sichuan Luxian earthquake on September 16, 2021. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 64(12): 4449−4461. (in Chinese) 尹超, 李伟华, 赵成刚, 2020. SV波斜入射下坡体地形放大效应的研究. 振动工程学报, 33(5): 971−984.Yin C., Li W. H., Zhao C. G., 2020. Research of slope topographic amplification subjected to obliquely incident SV-waves. Journal of Vibration Engineering, 33(5): 971−984. (in Chinese) 张捷, 况文欢, 张雄等, 2021. 全球油气开采诱发地震的研究现状与对策. 地球与行星物理论评, 52(3): 239−265.Zhang J. , Kuang W. H. , Zhang X. , et al. 2021. Global review of induced earthquakes in oil and gas production fields. Reviews of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, 52(3): 239−265. (in Chinese) 张栓, 江国焰, 许才军等, 2024. 2019年四川威远东两次MS>5.0地震序列活动特征及震源区体波速度结构. 地球物理学报, 67(1): 128−143.Zhang S., Jiang G. Y., Xu C. J., et al., 2024. Activity characteristics of the 2019 two MS>5.0 earthquake sequences in eastern Weiyuan (Sichuan) and body-wave velocity structure of the source region. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 67(1): 128−143. (in Chinese) 张岳桥, 2020. 四川盆地南部地震区发震构造及其新构造背景. 地质学报, 94(11): 3161−3177.Zhang Y. Q., 2020. Seismogenic structures of the south Sichuan basin seismic zone and its neotectonic setting. Acta Geologica Sinica, 94(11): 3161−3177. (in Chinese) Lei X. L., Wang Z. W., Su J. R., 2019. The December 2018 ML5.7 and January 2019 ML5.3 earthquakes in South Sichuan basin induced by shale gas hydraulic fracturing. Seismological Research Letters, 90(3): 1099−1110. Liu G. S., Lu R. Q., He D. F., et al., 2023. Detailed imaging of a seismogenic fault that potentially induced the two 2019 Weiyuan moderate earthquakes in the Sichuan Basin, China. Seismological Research Letters, 94(3): 1379−1391. Lu R. Q., He D. F., John S., et al., 2011. The seismogenic structure of the 2010 Suining MS5.0 earthquake and its geometry, kinematics and dynamics analysis. Acta Geologica Sinica, 85(6): 1277−1285. Lu R. Q., He D. F., Liu J. Z., et al., 2021. Seismogenic faults of the Changning earthquake sequence constrained by high-resolution seismic profiles in the southwestern Sichuan basin, China. Seismological Research Letters, 92(6): 3757−3766. Lu R. Q., Jiang C. S., He D. F., et al., 2024. Seismogenic fault of the 2021 MS6.0 Luxian induced earthquake in the Sichuan Basin, China constrained by high-resolution seismic reflection and dense seismic array. Journal of Structural Geology, 179: 105050. Luo Y., Zhao L., Zeng X. F., et al., 2015. Focal mechanisms of the Lushan earthquake sequence and spatial variation of the stress field. Science China Earth Sciences, 58(7): 1148−1158. Sheng M. H., Chu R. S., Ni S. D., et al., 2020. Source parameters of three moderate size earthquakes in Weiyuan, China, and their relations to shale gas hydraulic fracturing. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 125(10): e2020JB019932. Tan Y., Zhu L. P., Helmberger D. V., et al., 2006. Locating and modeling regional earthquakes with two stations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 111(B1): B01306. Yao Y., Wen S. Y., Yang L., et al., 2022. A shallow and left-lateral rupture event of the 2021 MW5.3 Baicheng earthquake: implications for the diffuse deformation of Southern Tianshan. Earth and Space Science, 9(3): e2021EA001995. -
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 14
- HTML全文浏览量: 8
- PDF下载量: 3
- 被引次数: 0
下载: